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🔍 Crypto SWOT Analysis: How to Identify High-Potential Projects
Using Eric Partaker’s framework to separate alpha generators from vaporware
💎 STRENGTHS (Project Differentiators)
✅ Elite Dev Team
Example: Ethereum (Vitalik), Solana (Anatoly), Monad (Keone Hon)
Check: LinkedIn profiles, GitHub commits, past project successes
✅ Tribal Community
Example: DOGE (meme army), BTC (maxi ethos), BONK (Solana degens)
Metric: Social followers vs. market cap ratio
✅ Technical Moats
ZK-proofs (ZKSync), parallel execution (Sei), modular stacks (Celestia)
Red Flag: "Forked code" with no meaningful upgrades
📉 WEAKNESSES (Project Killers)
⚠️ Centralization Risks
Founder/VCs control >30% supply? (See: Many 2023 altcoins)
Red Flag: No clear vesting schedule
⚠️ Tokenomics Cancer
Infinite inflation (No caps)
No utility (Pure speculation)
Example: 90% of GameFi tokens post-2021
⚠️ Zombie Chains
Check: GitHub activity, node count, DEX liquidity
Autofail: <10 commits/month
🚀 OPPORTUNITIES (Catalysts Ahead)
🌐 Institutional On-Ramps
Next ETF candidates: SOL, XRP, LINK
Sleeper Pick: MKR (RWA narrative)
🤖 Tech Synergies
AI agents (FET), decentralized compute (AKT)
Metric: Partnership announcements/month
🏛️ Regulatory Tailwinds
Trump’s CFTC pivot
MiCA 2.0 drafts
☠️ THREATS (Existential Risks)
🔻 Black Swan Events
Fed holding rates >5% into 2025
Tether audit failure
🔻 Tech Disruption
Quantum resistance laggards
At-Risk: Many PoW coins
🔻 Regulatory Attacks
SEC labeling tokens as securities
High Risk: Low-cap alts with US exposure
🛠️ Actionable Toolkit
1️⃣ Community Check:
Tool: LunarCrush (social momentum)
2️⃣ Dev Activity:
Tool: Santiment (GitHub tracking)
3️⃣ Tokenomics Audit:
Template: Messari’s supply model framework
👇 NEXT: Applying this to:
$TIA (Modular thesis)
$RNDR (AI+DePIN play)
$ONDO (RWA leader)
💬 “SWOT” for my free 10-point due diligence checklist
— Covers exchange risks, vesting schedules, and more—
#SmartMoney # AlphaLeaks