🔍 Crypto SWOT Analysis: How to Identify High-Potential Projects


Using Eric Partaker’s framework to separate alpha generators from vaporware

💎 STRENGTHS (Project Differentiators)
✅ Elite Dev Team

Example: Ethereum (Vitalik), Solana (Anatoly), Monad (Keone Hon)

Check: LinkedIn profiles, GitHub commits, past project successes

✅ Tribal Community

Example: DOGE (meme army), BTC (maxi ethos), BONK (Solana degens)

Metric: Social followers vs. market cap ratio

✅ Technical Moats

ZK-proofs (ZKSync), parallel execution (Sei), modular stacks (Celestia)

Red Flag: "Forked code" with no meaningful upgrades

📉 WEAKNESSES (Project Killers)
⚠️ Centralization Risks

Founder/VCs control >30% supply? (See: Many 2023 altcoins)

Red Flag: No clear vesting schedule

⚠️ Tokenomics Cancer

Infinite inflation (No caps)

No utility (Pure speculation)

Example: 90% of GameFi tokens post-2021

⚠️ Zombie Chains

Check: GitHub activity, node count, DEX liquidity

Autofail: <10 commits/month

🚀 OPPORTUNITIES (Catalysts Ahead)
🌐 Institutional On-Ramps

Next ETF candidates: SOL, XRP, LINK

Sleeper Pick: MKR (RWA narrative)

🤖 Tech Synergies

AI agents (FET), decentralized compute (AKT)

Metric: Partnership announcements/month

🏛️ Regulatory Tailwinds

Trump’s CFTC pivot

MiCA 2.0 drafts

☠️ THREATS (Existential Risks)
🔻 Black Swan Events

Fed holding rates >5% into 2025

Tether audit failure

🔻 Tech Disruption

Quantum resistance laggards

At-Risk: Many PoW coins

🔻 Regulatory Attacks

SEC labeling tokens as securities

High Risk: Low-cap alts with US exposure

🛠️ Actionable Toolkit
1️⃣ Community Check:

Tool: LunarCrush (social momentum)
2️⃣ Dev Activity:

Tool: Santiment (GitHub tracking)
3️⃣ Tokenomics Audit:

Template: Messari’s supply model framework

👇 NEXT: Applying this to:

$TIA (Modular thesis)

$RNDR (AI+DePIN play)

$ONDO (RWA leader)

💬 “SWOT” for my free 10-point due diligence checklist
— Covers exchange risks, vesting schedules, and more—

#SmartMoney # AlphaLeaks
ETH2.54%
SOL2.16%
DOGE-0.72%
MEME1.18%
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