Recently, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy direction has sparked widespread discussion in the market. Within just a few days, the expected probability of a rate cut in September surged from 41% to over 80%, a dramatic change that has left many investors feeling confused.

The expected rapid shift this time mainly stems from the poor performance of the latest non-farm payroll data, which has led to a significant adjustment in the market's judgment of the Federal Reserve's policy direction. However, such drastic fluctuations are not uncommon in financial markets, as economic data and officials' statements change daily, and it is quite normal for market expectations to adjust accordingly.

For ordinary investors, overly focusing on these short-term fluctuations may not be very meaningful. After all, the Federal Reserve's final decision will be based on a comprehensive analysis of economic data and internal discussions. In contrast, what is more worth paying attention to is the potential impact of this wave of policy expectation changes on the cryptocurrency market, as many cryptocurrency investors have been hoping that interest rate cuts could bring positive news to the market.

It is worth mentioning that there have been some positive signals in the cryptocurrency market recently. Solana's futures trading volume has reached a new high, and the overall crypto market is showing a rebound trend, with Ethereum ETFs maintaining net inflows for 12 consecutive weeks. These factors may have a positive impact on market sentiment.

At the same time, changes in the political arena may also indirectly affect the financial markets. Reports suggest that Trump plans to announce new nominees for the Federal Reserve Board, which could have some impact on the future direction of monetary policy.

Overall, the current financial market is in a period full of uncertainty. Investors need to closely monitor various economic indicators and policy trends while maintaining rational judgment to avoid being swayed by short-term fluctuations.